Victor's Blog about the Web, Security and Life

Russia still has a lot to do and say Fadz. I can understand your point of view but I won't, on the other hand, under-estimate the weight that Russia (especially with Puttin in control) can still perform on the global scene. (Remember Rice's face during the Interview)

Yes, Russia did not interfere earlier in Iraq. Yes, China is a newly emerging global share holder (careful with the word leader) with its market and productive power.

Russia, on the other hand, is an old giant who still knows the key factors for everything related to world leadership.

Add to this the fact that some Arab countries are already starting to adopt anti-US acts especially when it comes to the Iraq case. Add to this the fact that Georges Bush is currently caught in a complicated Iraqi situation and does not know where to move forward from here on. Add to this the fact that Iran is confronting the UN in a fearless attitude. Add to this the fact that Russia backed Iran up in this attitude.

The result? Well, let's see. The US is busy and doing its best to avoid embarassment in Iraq. The US is busy as well in Palestine trying to understand a complicated leader pretending to lead the palestinians into a so-called Peace Process. Europe, moreover and mainly France, is busy with Lebanon trying to figure out how to get the 40's back to life.

Iran and Russia are not busy (apparently) and are taking advantage of this situation. Iran is doing more nuclear research. Russia is busy giving headaches to Rice and Bush causing more and more headaches instead of being collaborative.

How will the US confront this situation? This is a small question.

The main question is WHEN will the US get the time and means to start doing so? After Iraq? After Palestine? or Now?

Remember that Iran is a very preservative and religiously-oriented environment. A decision taken today by religious leaders (especially men of state) takes it effect tomorrow. This speeds up the process a lot and, thus, the more time it takes for the US to start confronting Iran, the colder the post-confrontation war will be.

ps. Keep an eye on the Saddam Trial details. You will see surprises in the near future. This man is NOT crazy!

Cold War is a confrontation between two powers utilizing all except actual weapons. A cold war can be a race for economy domination, intelligence services incursion, breakthrough scientific discoveries, advanced weapons invention... Russia is in no position of going through a cold war. The actual cold war between the US and Russia already took place and ended in the beginning of the 90s by a sweeping victory for the US. Now, Russia is trying to survive its poverty, its regrets and most of all its unbearable shame by desperate moves by Putin the autocrat. One example is when the US decided to start the war on Irak, I can clearly remember that the Russian navy decided to orient all its missiles towards the US on a symbolic move and threatened anyone who violates Iraqs sovereignty. Did they do later anything to stop it? No.

Russians and Putin-like Russian leader have always been in the scene and all they did was loosing again and againsince the Cuban missile crisis, passing by the Star Wars and ending by the fall of the URSS in the beginning of the 90s, Russia has been weakening and loosing day after day.

Is this the start for a new cold war? Yes it is. Its the China-US race for supremacy and world domination.

Here is a new deja vu item although public this time.

Russia, represented by Putin, backed up Iran's right for Nuclear expansion and Uranium. Now here comes the true question: Is this the start for a new cold war? You should have seen Rice's face during the interview.

I would back you up, Layal, on the theory of Arabs supporting each other but I would emphasize that this will ALWAYS remain a theory. Arabs will never unite when it comes to Western confrontation. The only time such thing happened was with King Faysal who backed up the Palestinians' right for a fair discussion with the Israelis back in 1970's and King Faysal was assassinated by his relative.

I wouldn't go far to state that Arabs are the true reason for Iran's stubborness, Fadz. I think Iran had a long long discussion about this issue with Russia prior to any UN confrontation. Now that Russia is in the scene, I don't think Bush's air fighters will be planning for an attack on Iran for quite some time now.

The question changed as I see it now to become: What would Bush's Administration do to convince Russia that Iran should stop this activity? Is Russia's backup for Iran a REAL backup or is it simply a matter of trading this backup for something they need?

Too smart!! You'd be surprised to know that even big nations like Iran can act foolishly for no reason better than extremism and stubbornness. Iran, like Syria is considering itself a super power. And like Syria, it will be "educated" by the real superpowers. I don't think Americans will invade. I assume they will hit key targets using the air force

sorry but my name is layal i didn't post it cause i didn;t think you may reply

i really think that iran is betting on something that may not in the first place be true. the real risk would be if Bush started this war just like he did in iraq without any support and through violating the UN laws

well the question will then be is iran ready to face the US especially after what is happening know with syria, one of its allies, well i don't think so

but maybe if the arab countries for once in their history stood together to help a post arab state, a great ally, and a weapon providor, they could easily protect it and give it UN legitimacy to conrinue.

thanks,

Posting your name would be a good idea ;) Otherwise I will be discussing this issue with an unknown!

I think they are too smart. The question, however, do they see it as a deja vu or do they think time has changed the American way of doing politics especially from lessons learned in Iraq?

Do you think the US is ready for a new invasion? Do you think the American public will support Georges Bush Jr. in such a move? I don't think so.

Is Iran betting on this or is Iran pulling extremes for extremes in an attempt to reach a better deal?

it is truly deja vu but would the iranians learn from the mistakes of others in order to overcome this obsatcle. i think iran is too smart to fall again unless they want to blind their eyes and just try maybe it would work again, who knows?